Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000700 0.000802 0.000910 0.001033 0.001168 0.001312 0.001477
2025-02-16 0.000533 0.000672 0.000830 0.001021 0.001245 0.001498 0.001803
2025-02-23 0.000453 0.000609 0.000795 0.001030 0.001316 0.001650 0.002065
2025-03-02 0.000392 0.000559 0.000766 0.001038 0.001379 0.001789 0.002313
2025-03-09 0.000330 0.000498 0.000715 0.001009 0.001391 0.001862 0.002476
2025-03-16 0.000279 0.000445 0.000668 0.000981 0.001397 0.001922 0.002623
2025-03-23 0.000246 0.000413 0.000645 0.000979 0.001434 0.002020 0.002816
2025-03-30 0.000219 0.000385 0.000624 0.000977 0.001470 0.002116 0.003007
2025-04-06 0.000192 0.000356 0.000598 0.000966 0.001491 0.002191 0.003172
2025-04-13 0.000167 0.000326 0.000568 0.000946 0.001497 0.002245 0.003308
2025-04-20 0.000155 0.000315 0.000566 0.000967 0.001560 0.002376 0.003549
2025-04-27 0.000143 0.000302 0.000561 0.000980 0.001612 0.002493 0.003773
2025-05-04 0.000125 0.000278 0.000535 0.000962 0.001619 0.002549 0.003917
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000256 0.000510 0.000943 0.001623 0.002599 0.004055
2025-05-18 0.000100 0.000245 0.000504 0.000955 0.001672 0.002715 0.004285
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000234 0.000495 0.000961 0.001712 0.002818 0.004500
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000213 0.000469 0.000934 0.001701 0.002845 0.004605
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000194 0.000443 0.000907 0.001686 0.002866 0.004701
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000183 0.000432 0.000905 0.001712 0.002947 0.004884
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.000173 0.000421 0.000904 0.001737 0.003028 0.005070
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000162 0.000407 0.000894 0.001748 0.003085 0.005221
2025-07-06 0.000042 0.000149 0.000388 0.000875 0.001743 0.003119 0.005336
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000146 0.000390 0.000894 0.001802 0.003253 0.005606